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R.O.I. Real State – Commercial Newsletter – September 2025

As noted, several times in the past few months, we continue to see strength in owner-occupied office. Back-to-office is a burgeoning trend, underscored by a flight to quality—functional office space is not enough at this point; it is the properties with all the bells and whistles that are attracting attention. Asking rates remain suppressed at around $29/SF, with Phoenix joining Denver and Portland, Oregon, as the only large Western markets below the $32/SF national average in August. Another interesting data point, on a national level, is that only four major markets (San Francisco, Boston, New York, and San Jose) saw a year-over-year increase in leasing volume. Historically, the first markets to go down are also the first to rise up, which could be a harbinger for positive office trends on a broader base going forward.   Last month’s headline deal, discussed in the August issue of The Real State, was Southwest Value Partners’ acquisition of seven class A office properties across the Valley for $296 million. This month’s nod of approval from the investing community came in the form of BKM Capital Partners acquiring 900,000 SF of Phoenix-area industrial space—364 units across more than 40 buildings. Greater Phoenix continues to expand economically, and having well-located industrial buildings in the Valley is a tacit acknowledgement by sophisticated investors of our growing industrial base.   It is interesting to note that the deal consists of small-bay space, which has lower vacancies than big box properties. The principle is similar to why multifamily apartments have been so popular over the past several years: spreading risk throughout a number of units rather than being at 100% occupancy or 100% vacancy in a single-tenant property.  

A Quick Note About Tariffs

Several clients have asked our team about tariffs and their potential to impact the commercial real estate market. While we do not have a crystal ball, it is worth considering how tariffs may affect CRE interests from a big-picture perspective. The cost of construction materials such as steel and aluminum, as well as hundreds of other product categories, is of particular concern—and can affect end-product pricing. About 25% of the steel used in the US is imported, for example. This not only can result in price increases for the buildings themselves, but the electrical, mechanical and plumbing systems, fixtures and finishes, and even appliances.   If you have been watching the news, you are well aware that tariffs have been a moving target—and probably will continue to fluctuate as negotiations evolve. In the meantime, increased costs may contribute to higher rental rates. Over the longer haul, while we cannot predict which direction the tariffs will go, the state of ambiguity is putting people in a holding pattern in many instances.   You can read all the details about the commercial real estate industry in the R.O.I. Properties “Real State – Commercial” newsletter, with additional statistics, market trends and information.
Originally shared via roiproperties.com newsletter. Click here to read full newsletter.

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